Contributor's Links: The Speculative Investor

I graduated from the University of Western Australia in 1984 with a degree in electronic engineering and from 1984 until 1998 worked in the commercial construction industry as an engineer, a project manager and an operations manager. 

I began investing in the stock market 2 ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

Addressing Keith Weiner’s Objections To “Gold’s True Fundamentals”
There has never been a strong and consistent short-term correlation between the gold price and the yield curve, but near major turning points, the yield curve tends to be the dominant driver.
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Gold’s True Fundamentals
The Gold True Fundamentals Model was slightly bearish over the past two weeks, but three of the model’s seven components are close to tipping points.
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The Central-Bank Moment
The price of credit is distorted primarily by central banks, and the central bank is most definitely not a natural part of a market economy.
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The Limitations Of Sentiment, Revisited
In a blog post in March of this year I discussed the limitations of sentiment as a market timing tool. There are three potential pitfalls associated with using sentiment to guide buying/selling decisions. Here are the pitfalls again.
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Why Bad Economic Theories Remain Popular
In a free economy there wouldn’t be much for an economist to do other than teach economics. He/she would certainly never have the opportunity to be involved in the ‘management’ of the economy.
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What Is A Bull Market?
A reasonable definition of a bull market must be practical. This means that it must take into account the fact that what people really want from an investment is an increase in purchasing power, not just an increase in price.
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STOCKS I FOLLOW

GLD SPDR Gold Trust ETF
SPY SPDR S&P 500

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The Speculative Investor
Steven Saville
Steven Saville

In an average week, TSI subscribers receive two reports: a Weekly Market Update on Sunday and an Interim Update on Thursday morning (NYT). The Weekly Update typically has 3000-4500 words and 10-15 charts, while the average Interim Update is about half that size. As well as containing information about the gold, currency, stock, bond and commodity markets, these reports regularly include discussions about macro-economics. The economics-related discussions are from an “Austrian” perspective, because I’ve found that the Austrian School is the only school of economics that is consistently logical and explains how the world really works.

TSI subscribers also get access to a list of stock selections. The TSI stock selections have provided very good long-term returns; however, due to the highly speculative nature of the stocks I tend to focus on, my year-to-year returns have been ‘lumpy’, to put it mildly.