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You Cannot Inflate The Debt Away
Article By: Michael Ashton
Thursday, May 2, 2024 6:29 PM EDT
The average interest rate on U.S. debt is 3.21%, about double what it was in early 2022 and the highest it has been since 2009.
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U.S. Recession Warning Via States Economies Was A False Alarm
Article By: James Picerno
Tuesday, April 30, 2024 7:57 AM EDT
U.S. recession risk remains low at the moment, based on the newsletter’s primary indicator, which aggregates several business-cycle metrics.
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Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming
Article By: Lance Roberts
Tuesday, April 30, 2024 6:50 AM EDT
​​​​​​​Over the last two weeks, the bullish sentiment index has reversed from extreme greed to fear. The composite net bullish sentiment index, comprised of professional and retail investors, fell from 38.15 to 9.9 in two weeks.
In this article: SPX
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IBM Stock Price Forecast 2024: Examining IBM’s Strategic Vision
Article By: Tactical Investor
Saturday, April 27, 2024 3:15 AM EDT
When considering IBM’s stock price forecast 2024, it is essential to focus on the overall trend rather than fixating on specific price targets.
In this article: IBM
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Does Mag 7 Leadership Remain Intact Post-Tesla And Meta Disappointments?
Article By: Sheraz Mian
Friday, April 26, 2024 5:54 PM EDT
The Mag 7 companies are expected to bring in 20.6% of the S&P 500 index’s total earnings in 2024.
In this article: AAPL, AMZN, MSFT, TSLA, META, GOOGL, XLK
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Bounce In Money Growth Is Good News And Bad News
Article By: Michael Ashton
Wednesday, April 24, 2024 4:55 PM EDT
If we want 2% inflation, then we need M to grow about 2% faster than GDP.
In this article: UDN, UUP
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Just A Correction, Or Is The Bull Market Over?
Article By: Lance Roberts
Tuesday, April 23, 2024 7:12 AM EDT
The current correction is becoming increasingly oversold, which suggests a bounce is likely toward the previous support of the 50-DMA.
In this article: SPX
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Governments Could Stop Inflation If They Wanted But They Will Not
Article By: Daniel Lacalle
Monday, April 22, 2024 6:45 AM EDT
The only real cause of inflation is government spending. While banks can generate money -credit- through lending, they rely on projects and investments to support these loans.
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What Can Investors Expect From Big Tech Earnings?
Article By: Sheraz Mian
Friday, April 19, 2024 6:25 PM EDT
The hope appears to be that robust results from the Mag 7 companies reporting this week will help restore confidence in the fundamental underpinnings and offset some of the Fed-centric worries.
In this article: MSFT, TSLA, XLK, META, GOOGL
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The World’s Economic Myths Are Hitting Limits
Article By: Gail Tverberg
Thursday, April 18, 2024 3:00 PM EDT
The transition to a new Green Economy is not progressing as well as hoped. Green energy planners have missed the point that our physics-based economy favors low-cost producers.
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Are We On Japan's Path Of Stagnation?
Article By: Michael Lebowitz
Wednesday, April 17, 2024 5:45 AM EDT
Fiscal dominance, whereby the Federal Reserve must help the Treasury fund their debts at reasonable costs, is upon us.
In this article: FXY, UUP
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Where’s The Downside Tipping Point For U.S. Stocks?
Article By: James Picerno
Tuesday, April 16, 2024 8:42 AM EDT
The S&P’s 20-day average is still comfortably above its 50- and 100-day counterparts.
In this article: SPX
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Are Higher Interest Rates Good For The Economy?
Article By: Joseph Calhoun
Monday, April 15, 2024 10:10 AM EDT
Interest rates surged last week on the back of a hotter-than-expected inflation report that wasn’t actually that bad.
In this article: GLD, IEF, UUP, XLE, XLI, XLC
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The Q1 Earnings Season Kicks Off Positively
Article By: Sheraz Mian
Friday, April 12, 2024 6:20 PM EDT
Looking at Q1 as a whole, total S&P 500 earnings are expected to be up +2.9% from the same period last year on +3.8% higher revenues.
In this article: SPY, C, JPM, WFC
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Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets
Article By: Lance Roberts
Tuesday, April 9, 2024 11:19 AM EDT
The increase in leverage is not surprising, as it represents increased risk-taking by investors in the stock market.
In this article: SPY
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Will Sticky Inflation Kill Prospects For Rate Cuts In 2024?
Article By: James Picerno
Monday, April 8, 2024 1:03 PM EDT
The consensus outlook is still projecting that the Federal Reserve will trim its target interest rate by the end of the year.
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