Jill Mislinski | TalkMarkets | Page 4
Research Director at Advisor Perspectives
Contributor's Links: Advisor Perspectives
Jill has been working with Advisor Perspectives since 2012 and in 2015 joined the dshort team as Research Director. She considers herself a Gen X’er and has a background in mathematics and science. She holds a Master of Science in Physical Science with a concentration in physics and ...more

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Market Cap To GDP - Buffett Valuation Indicator
Back in 2001, he remarked in a Fortune Magazine interview that "it is probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment."
The Four Totally Bad Bear Recoveries: Where Is Today's Market? Friday, Jan. 6
In response to a standing request, here is an updated comparison of four major secular bear markets. The numbers are through the December 30, 2022 close.
November Trade Deficit At $61.5B
The headline number of -$61.5B was better than the -73.0B forecast.
Regression To Trend: 115% Above Trend In December
The regression trendline drawn through the data clarifies the secular pattern of variance from the trend, those multi-year periods when the market trades above and below the trend.
Cryptocurrencies Through January 4th
This weekly update tracks some of the largest cryptocurrencies by market share: bitcoin and ether.
Weekly Gasoline Prices - Regular And Premium Up
As of January 2, the price of Regular and Premium were up 13 and 10 cents each, respectively, from the previous week.
ISM Manufacturing Index Continues Contraction In December
The latest headline Purchasing Managers Index was 48.4, down 0.6 from the previous month and in contraction territory.
Crestmont Market Valuation Update: December 2022
Based on the December S&P 500 average of daily closes, the Crestmont P/E is 115% above its arithmetic mean and at the 97th percentile of this fourteen-plus-decade monthly metric.
Treasury Yields: A Long-Term Perspective - Tuesday, Jan. 3
As of December 30, 2022, the 10-year note was 336 basis points above its historic closing low of 0.52%, reached on August 4, 2020.
Moving Averages: S&P Down 5.9% In December, Down 19.4% In 2022
Over the past few years, we've used Excel to track the performance of various moving-average timing strategies. But now we use the backtesting tools available on the ETFReplay.com website.
S&P 500 Snapshot: 2022 Ends Down 19.4% YTD
The index is about 20% below its record close - so really in bear territory. Will we see a Santa Rally in the first two weeks of 2023?
Chicago PMI Rises In December
The latest Chicago Purchasing Manager's Index, or the Chicago Business Barometer, rose to 44.9 in December from 37.2 in November, which is still in contraction territory.
Moving Averages Month-End Preview: Down 5.7% In December
Here is an advance preview of the monthly moving averages we track after the close of the last business day of the month.
December Regional Fed Manufacturing Overview
Regional manufacturing surveys are a measure of local economic health and are used as a representative for the larger national manufacturing health. Manufacturing makes up 12% of the country's GDP.
Cryptocurrencies Through Thursday, Dec. 29
This weekly update tracks some of the largest cryptocurrencies by market share: bitcoin and ether.
Weekly Unemployment Claims: Up 9K, At Forecast
This morning's seasonally adjusted 225K new claims, up 9k from the previous week's figure.
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