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Monte Dei Paschi Is The Key To Europe
Sunday, December 25, 2016 8:38 PM EDT
If you thought the Monte Dei Paschi story was over, you underestimated the situation. It is only getting started. The results of how this plays out will have wide ranging ramifications for other troubled banks in the future.
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Probability And Trade Logic Video
Saturday, December 24, 2016 7:49 PM EDT
In this extended Holiday weekend edition we will look at probability and trade logic. High probability does not equate to consistent returns in the market. TheoTraders need to think about the trade logic and their risk management plan.
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Poor Data: Weak Economy?
Friday, December 23, 2016 3:30 PM EDT
The Dow has fallen two days in a row for the first time since the election as negative data was able to temporarily stop the Dow from reaching the much heralded 20,000 level.
In this article: SPX
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Monte Dei Paschi The Zombie
Friday, December 23, 2016 4:00 AM EDT
The day the zombie bank Monte Dei Paschi is rescued is finally upon us. The bank tried to raise 5 billion Euros through the private market but failed. The bondholders’ debt for equity swap only netted the bank 2.45 billion Euros.
In this article: BMDPF, EWI
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Should You Sell Stocks Now?
Thursday, December 22, 2016 11:06 PM EDT
The level of bullishness in the market doesn’t represent reality. It has made sense to be bearish this year, but logic doesn’t matter when your contrarian portfolio has had a bad year.
In this article: CAT, GS, SPX
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Italian Bank Update
Thursday, December 22, 2016 12:23 AM EDT
Italy is coming closer to the inevitable government bailout of the world’s oldest bank Monte Dei Paschi. The situation was always bound to happen at some point, but the actual nationalization process could start in the next few days.
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Understanding VIX Options
Wednesday, December 21, 2016 5:52 PM EDT
In a time of historically low volatility in tonight's video let's look at exactly what VIX options are, what they represent, and how to use them to trade more effectively...
In this video: VIX
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Predictions For 2017
Wednesday, December 21, 2016 2:43 PM EDT
Predictions are tough to make. They are especially difficult with central banks manipulating asset prices. Excess liquidity does wonders to stocks no matter what the individual company’s fundamentals looks like.
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Buybacks Down, Optimism Up
Wednesday, December 21, 2016 12:33 AM EDT
The equities market has rallied on the anticipation of the Dow hitting 20,000. The market has looked to push higher since the election as momentum reigns supreme.
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Italy Kicks The Can
Tuesday, December 20, 2016 2:29 PM EDT
This week Monte Dei Paschi, the weakest Italian bank, is under renewed scrutiny because it still needs to raise money to recapitalize and get rid of 28 billion Euros in bad loans it has.
In this article: EWI
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Trump Optimism Shown In Markit Index
Tuesday, December 20, 2016 2:21 AM EDT
As the year ends, not much looks to be changing in the markets as volumes decrease and data points become less frequent. The prognosticators have made their picks for another bullish year in 2017 even though stocks are at near record high valuations.
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Currency Jenga Game
Monday, December 19, 2016 12:17 AM EDT
The game has changed ever since Trump was elected and inflation started to pick up. This is a risky proposition because the system is unstable. It looks stable today because central banks are doing everything in their power to make it look good.
In this article: META, GOOGL
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2017 Will Be Like 2016
Saturday, December 17, 2016 6:41 PM EDT
The optimism about earnings and the economy heading into this year is higher than last year even though the Fed is more cautious. The Fed expected 2.4% growth in 2016. This likely won’t be met looking at the numbers which have come in so far.
In this article: SPX
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Facebook Is Playing Catch-up
Friday, December 16, 2016 1:30 AM EDT
Facebook continues to copy other social media apps with its new announcements. If almost every single new feature is a copy of another app, then it makes you wonder how long it can stay on top of the social landscape.
In this article: AAPL, META
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Fed Hawkishness Reverberates
Thursday, December 15, 2016 5:59 PM EDT
Stocks and the dollar have rallied due to Fed hawkishness. This can’t continue because multinationals’ profits will fall if the dollar rallies. This would make stocks even more expensive than they already are.
In this article: GLD, UUP
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Fed Statement Analyzed
Thursday, December 15, 2016 4:15 AM EDT
The Fed wants to support the economy and the current administration. While the Fed is political in the sense it wants the economy to do well for the administration, it wouldn’t purposely tank the economy as political retribution.
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