Danielle Park, CFA | TalkMarkets | Page 5
Portfolio Manager
Contributor's Links: Juggling Dynamite
Portfolio Manager, attorney, finance author, a regular guest on North American media. Danielle Park is the author of the best selling myth-busting book “Juggling Dynamite: An insider’s wisdom on money management, markets and wealth that lasts,” as well as a popular daily ...more

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For Sale Inventory On The Rise
The four Ds drive real estate listings: death, divorce, default, and discretionary. The first three tend to trigger regardless of market conditions.
Dash For Cash Intensifying
More than a decade of near-zero interest rates spawned a generation of bonkers financial decisions. Now, we are in the reveal and clean-up phase.
What Interest Rates Say About Home Prices
The average home price in Canada ($757k) is about 141% higher than what is considered affordable for the average household income.
China’s Real Estate Bust Has Global Implications
The International Monetary Fund warned this month that the downdraft in China’s real estate sector has contagion implications globally.
Stock Market Likelihood Is Lower For Longer
The average time from a yield curve inversion (long-interest rates below short) to the onset of recession has been ten months historically, ranging from 11 to 22 months.
A Case Of Overkill
The drop in equity and bond prices, along with the jump in fossil fuel costs and the US dollar, have tightened financial conditions the equivalent of an additional 80 basis points in the last two months alone.
Re-Steepening Yield Curve Signals Financial Trauma In Motion
In the past few months, short-term treasury yields have risen more than long-term such that the yield curve, which has been inverted since April 2021, is now un-inverting.
Increasing The Primary Residence Housing Stock
All the talk about needing to deflate the cost of housing is finally getting serious.
Pandemic Buyers Struggling To Unload Properties
Commercial real estate sales volume has fallen to the lowest level in 13 years.
Bonds Offer Capital Defence, Equities Do Not
From present valuation levels, equities are priced to underperform government bonds by 6.5% annualized over the next ten years.
Small Caps Leading Lower
The economically-sensitive Russell 2000 stock index has given back all of its early 2023 rebound and is now negative year to date, -29% from its cycle peak in October 2021 and just 1% higher than where it was in August 2018.
Resisting Financial Sentinels
Recessionary bear markets have seen the lion’s share of equity and corporate debt losses happen in the months after the Fed ends tightening efforts and returns to easing.
Buying Power Has Halved, Do The Math
Home listings and price reductions are popping up like measles. Meanwhile, offers are increasingly scarce, and a quick look at any mortgage calculator shows why.
Housing-Led Downturn To Rival 2008
A decade of levered fiscal and monetary incentives has enabled yet another epic capital misallocation cycle. Now, we are in the takeback period once more.
Bond Market Tightens Noose On Highly Indebted Economy
As bond prices have fallen, their higher yields have jacked financing costs for households, businesses, and governments to the highest in over 15 years.
Harsh New Reality For Homeowners As Listings Rise And Buyer-Pool Shrinks
In its 2023 Financial System Review, The Bank of Canada notes growing concern about the ability of households to service their debt, with mortgage holders facing payment increases of up to 40%.
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