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Buy And Bail Straddles Are In Play
A quiet post Super Bowl trading session saw stocks mixed and treasuries rise. The one and half point rise in the 30 year is a significant move; however, the reaction from stocks was muted.
Inflation Has Been Rising
In this article, I will discuss the global rise of inflation. Normally the level of inflation we’ve see globally wouldn’t be a big deal because it is still relatively low.
Deregulation Rally In Financials Fails To Breach New Highs
Stocks rallied on Friday led by the deregulation talk in the financial sector and a better than expected jobs report. The major indexes and market sectors were unable to hit new post election highs on the good news.
Snap IPO Is Coming Soon
Snap’s long awaited S-1 filing is now public. There’s a lot of media buzz about the nuances of the filing which is exactly what Snap wants.
Fed Put On Watch By Congressional Vice Chairman Of Financial Services
The chances of a rate hike in March has fallen from 17.7% to 13.3% and the chances of zero rate hikes this year has risen to 6.9%. Besides Trump’s rhetoric, the lack of hawkishness by the Fed is also hurting the dollar.
AMZN Spooks Afterhours, Jobs On Tap
After a quiet day in the market, AMZN missed earnings expectations and lowered guidances.
Economic Data Looks Amazing In January
The ADP and ISM reports are consistent with the narrative that the economy is strong. If January’s metrics are indicative of how the year will go, the economy will exceed my expectations.
Disillusionment In Europe
Europe is disillusioned politically. The inflation rate is increasing, but it may not affect the ECB’s asset purchases because the core rate is stable.
People Aren't Buying Highs; They Are Buying Dips
U.S. equities slide for a fourth consecutive session on mixed earnings although stocks pared losses to end the day nearly unchanged.
Consumer Confidence Falls - AAPL Earnings Coming
Tonight, we will hear from Apple on how its earnings for the holiday quarter went. Apple’s earnings report will have a major impact on the direction of the market.
Volatility Returns- Much More To Come
Today the market fell and the VIX finally increased off its near record-low levels. The VIX was up 12.29% to 11.88. This is still relatively low, but it’s no longer extremely oversold.
Signs Of Volatility Emerging?
Stocks started lower…finishing there as well…with major averages posting one of their worst sessions in months amid uncertainty following the immigration policy enacted by the Trump administration this weekend.
German CPI Spikes To Highest In 3.5 Years
The story of German inflation creates political tension, so some may say “look at this rate; don’t worry!”
The VIX, Auto Bubble & Bitcoin
In this article, I will discuss how low the VIX is, the weakness in the auto market which is set to come in 2017, the outflows China is experiencing and review the price action in bitcoin which has been stabilizing.
A Low Volatility/High Risk Marketplace With Plenty Of Opportunities
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX​) touched its lowest level since July 2014 (again) as there remains no fear in the broader market. In this extended weekend edition video we will be discussing a pairs trading opportunity.
GDP & Durable Goods Orders
Friday, we received the durable goods orders and Q4 GDP report. The durable goods headline report of -0.4% growth month over month looked worse than it was because of sharp declines in defense spending.
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