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Fed Statement Analyzed
Thursday, December 15, 2016 4:15 AM EDT
The Fed wants to support the economy and the current administration. While the Fed is political in the sense it wants the economy to do well for the administration, it wouldn’t purposely tank the economy as political retribution.
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Fed Raises Rates
Wednesday, December 14, 2016 10:32 PM EDT
Today the Fed raised rates by a quarter point. 2018 and 2019 have that quarter point rate hike pulled through, but have no additional rate hikes from what was expected. The long run Fed funds rate estimate increased from 2.9% to 3.0%.
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What Can Go Wrong?
Wednesday, December 14, 2016 5:59 AM EDT
The market is hyperbolic in its bullishness which has no basis in anything tangible other than optimism that Trump’s presidency will bring GDP growth and reignite corporate profit growth.
In this article: DJI, SPX
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Inflation Could End The EU
Tuesday, December 13, 2016 9:47 PM EDT
Draghi is in favor of extending the bond buying program, but the Germans are against it. This disagreement will cause fireworks which threatens the survival of the EU.
In this article: FXE, OIL, USO
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Buying It Forward; For Now
Tuesday, December 13, 2016 5:56 PM EDT
The headline news is all about Dow 20,000 and given all the attention it's receiving you can expect this index of only 30 stocks to hit that mark.
In this video: DJI
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The Budget Deficit Is Dire
Tuesday, December 13, 2016 2:45 PM EDT
America is in a bad situation with this massive budget deficit. In August, the Congressional Budget Office predicted the deficit as a percentage of the GDP would rise from 2.5% to 3.1% in fiscal year 2017.
In this article: TIP
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Selling Hits The Russell But Where Is The Intensity?
Monday, December 12, 2016 5:34 PM EDT
The Russell was down more than 1% for the first time since the Presidential election rally. Where is the intensity to the selling and are there any sectors raising red flags?
In this video: IWM Also: QQQ, AAPL, XLF
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Skepticism About The Rally
Saturday, December 10, 2016 11:42 AM EDT
This article has a few reasons why you shouldn’t follow the herd off the cliff as they buy stocks without regards to valuations. While it may seem like the rally will never end, it seemed like the rally in treasuries would last forever as well.
In this article: GS, VZ, IWM, SPX
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The Bubble Gets Bigger
Thursday, December 8, 2016 11:24 PM EDT
Today the market extended its gains to extraordinary levels. Goldman Sachs has been behind much of the latest Dow gains as its stock is 6% off its all-time high it set in October of 2007.
In this article: XOM, TSLA, KRE, XLE, SCTY
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Draghi Continues Bond Buying
Thursday, December 8, 2016 6:30 PM EDT
The ECB is preventing market corrections from happening, so the day volatility takes charge, investors won’t be able to handle it without panicking. All the minor corrections that should be occurring, will occur in one event.
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Snapchat Taking On Facebook?
Wednesday, December 7, 2016 5:17 PM EDT
Is Snapchat a threat to Facebook?
In this article: META Also: LNKD, VZ, BIDU, AMZN, GOOG, MSFT, YHOO, BABA
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QE Unwind Not Happening
Wednesday, December 7, 2016 1:29 AM EDT
The Fed’s balance sheet needs to be studied extensively because of the unique policies the Fed has put in place in the past few years.
In this article: IWM
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The Fed Mistakes: Why Productivity Is Declining
Tuesday, December 6, 2016 6:01 PM EDT
Next week the Fed will make a decision on whether to hike rates or keep them steady. The Fed now has to deal with President Trump’s economic policies when answering questions, making forward guidance, and making decisions on rates.
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Renzi Loses Referendum
Tuesday, December 6, 2016 12:38 AM EDT
As I projected Matteo Renzi lost the referendum. The margin of his defeat was more than the polls had indicated. He was down by the mid-single digits in the last polls, with about 20% undecided. “No” ended up winning the election by almost 20 points.
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Interest Rates Soar, Should Asset Bubbles Feel The Fear?
Saturday, December 3, 2016 4:52 PM EDT
In this weekend edition we dive into what the bond market sell off means for the rest of the market. In the last 3 weeks interest rates have gone from historic lows to multi-year highs.
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Kellogg’s Feels The Breitbart Effect
Thursday, December 1, 2016 10:26 PM EDT
Today’s new outrage of the day is Kellogg’s decision to stop advertising on Breitbart. The Twitter account Sleeping Giants has been targeting firms who are advertising on Breitbart and pressuring them to remove their ads.
In this article: K
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