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Lithium: A Booming Sector Set Up For Continued Strength
Article By: Taki Tsaklanos
Friday, October 28, 2022 8:01 AM EDT
The price of lithium continues to make new highs. In fact, it is the only commodity that broke out to new ATH since May/June which is when the rate of inflation peaked.
In this article: LIT, PMETF
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The IMF’s Latest Bleak Projections For The Global Economy Are Too Optimistic
Article By: Arthur Donner
Friday, October 28, 2022 4:08 AM EDT
The US economy expanded 5.7% in its rebound year 2021 and is projected (on the pessimistic side) to grow only 1.6% this year and only 0.9% in 2023.
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Non-Residential Construction Forecast: Slowing 2023-2024
Article By: Bill Conerly
Wednesday, October 26, 2022 9:50 AM EDT
Nonresidential construction will suffer in late 2023 and into 2024, with recovery sometime in 2025. The downturn will not be severe but it will be noticeable for almost all parts of the industry.
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The Tide Has Now Turned As To House Prices
Article By: New Deal Democrat
Tuesday, October 25, 2022 10:46 AM EDT
I have seen guesstimates of a -5% to -10% decline in house prices in this downturn, and that is a reasonable first dart-throw, although my guesstimate would be at the -10% end of that range.
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China: President Xi Has More Say On Economic Policy
Article By: ING Economics
Monday, October 24, 2022 3:30 AM EDT
As Liu He has left the group of top government officials, President Xi has more say on economic policy. But this may not mean inconsistency of policies, almost the opposite, we think that the likelihood of policy continuity has increased.
In this article: GXC
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UK Inflation Back In Double-Digits But Close To The Peak
Article By: ING Economics
Wednesday, October 19, 2022 5:06 AM EDT
We think UK inflation is now only fractionally away from the peak, which is likely to come in October.
In this article: EWU
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Selling Emerging Markets Humiliation
Article By: David Pinsen
Monday, October 10, 2022 5:12 AM EDT
Taking the opposite side of Michael Hartnett's trade of 2023 for now.
In this article: DUST, EDZ, SPY, TMV, WEBS, TTT
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Bitcoin: The 5 Year Bull Market Trendline That Will Be Critical In 2023
Article By: Taki Tsaklanos
Sunday, October 9, 2022 8:28 PM EDT
Bitcoin is close to testing a really important trendline that is holding for 5 years now. Expect volatility to heat up next week and also in the 2nd half of November.
In this article: UUP, BITCOMP
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What Will Q4 Bring For The Markets?
Article By: MoneyShow.com
Saturday, October 8, 2022 10:05 AM EDT
It’s one that will be with us for YEARS in numerous forms. And all told, it suggests to me that the current bear market for the stock market, generally, is not at its ultimate end.
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Signs And Portents Of An Employment Slowdown And A Near-term Recession
Article By: New Deal Democrat
Thursday, October 6, 2022 9:55 AM EDT
I continue to believe that a recession - possibly a deep if relatively brief one - is likely to start early next year. This isn’t just an academic exercise; recessions by definition feature jobs and income losses, which is my primary interest.
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US: A Cold Wind Is Blowing
Article By: ING Economics
Thursday, October 6, 2022 7:41 AM EDT
This has been a disappointing year for the US economy with two consecutive quarters of falling output. It will be worse in 2023. Consumer spending and business capital expenditure look set to fall and unemployment will rise.
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