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Yet Another Chart That Screams “Look Out!"
Article By: John Rubino
Saturday, March 17, 2018 6:56 PM EDT
So many patterns that have held for decades seem to have broken down. The latest example is the relationship between corporate debt and default rates on that debt. So has the correlation between corporate debt and defaults been broken for good?
Are You Prepared For The Fed 2.0?
Video By: TheoTrade
Saturday, March 17, 2018 5:20 PM EDT
Stocks end a volatile trading week on the edge of the lower weekly expected move. In this crucial weekend video update we review the positive trading week and look forward to what to expect next week.
In this video: BA, WMT, TSLA
E SPX Closes Beneath Resistance
Article By: Tony Cherniawski
Saturday, March 17, 2018 4:16 PM EDT
SPX challenged the upper long-term trendline and Cycle Top resistance at 2804.43. It closed beneath Short-term support/resistance at 2756.04. The Model now calls for a new challenge of the lower supports with possibly different results.
In this article: GLD, NDX, SPX, VIX, BKX
COT Blue: A Decade Of Weird
Article By: Jeffrey P. Snider
Saturday, March 17, 2018 9:00 AM EDT
Crony free markets don’t possess a downside, at least not officially – unless they are the bond market.
In this article: TNX Also: UUP
Fed’s Interest Rate Outlook, For Wednesday And Beyond
Article By: BigTrends
Friday, March 16, 2018 8:52 PM EDT
This coming week, the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee will decide whether or not to impose another interest rate increase. What does the interest rate picture look like down the road? And how are the estimates determined anyway?
Dow Dumps Into Red For March As Yield Curve Crashes To 11-Year Lows
Article By: Tyler Durden
Friday, March 16, 2018 8:23 PM EDT
Stocks went into reverse this week. All major US equity indices were lower this week (despite a late-day, OPEX-week, panic bid ramp). And the Dow is back in the red for March.
In this article: GLD, SPX, VIX
Ask Slim Market Week - Friday, March 16
Video By: Steve Miller
Friday, March 16, 2018 7:14 PM EDT
The stock market worked its way lower this week and actually worked blow a key support level. mostly thanks to jitters over this week's administration shuffle but still saw large inflows of money into the market.
Treasury Yield Convergence: When Might Perfect Flatness Arrive?
Article By: Mish Shedlock
Friday, March 16, 2018 6:08 PM EDT
Despite much ballyhoo over yield curve steepening, the chart shows significant flattening process is still underway.
In this article: TYX
Looking For Ways To Squeeze More Yield Out Of Your Cash Pile? Me Too
Article By: Joseph Harry
Friday, March 16, 2018 4:05 PM EDT
Markets are likely overvalued. Cash isn't always trash. High-yield savings accounts could provide a solution for getting more out of a cash pile.
In this article: SPY, ALLY, SYF
Something Just Isn’t Adding Up In The Recent Data
Article By: Tematica Research
Friday, March 16, 2018 3:00 PM EDT
The week started off strong out of the gate on Monday in the wake of Friday’s post-payroll rally, but the momentum quickly faded, leaving the S&P 500 down four consecutive days as of Thursday’s close.
In this article: SPX, TNX
To Hedge Inflation, Nudge At Neptune
Article By: Michael Ashton
Friday, March 16, 2018 1:46 PM EDT
While 10-year breakevens have risen from 1.70% to 2.10% over the last 9 months or so, that’s still below current median inflation, and below where core inflation will be in a few months as the one-offs subside.
In this article: TIPS
QE Singularity: No Japanese 10-Yr Bonds Trade
Article By: Mish Shedlock
Friday, March 16, 2018 12:46 PM EDT
No Japanese 10-year bonds traded on Tuesday. The BoJ is in perfect control. This should be nirvana. Why Isn't it?
First-Quarter 2018 Munis: Challenging
Article By: David Kotok
Friday, March 16, 2018 12:03 PM EDT
The first quarter of 2018 was a wobbly one for municipal bonds. Supply, as we know, was taken from this quarter and moved up to December of 2017 in order to beat the tax bill.
In this article: TNX
Breathe In, Breathe Out
Article By: The Heisenberg Report
Friday, March 16, 2018 9:54 AM EDT
If the Fed does indeed try to cram in another hike beyond what’s priced in (as many folks seem to believe they will), they risk inverting the curve and derailing the economy.
Dollar Strength Is Hiding In Plain Sight, And One Strategist Says It’s Here To Stay
Article By: The Heisenberg Report
Friday, March 16, 2018 8:27 AM EDT
The U.S. has adopted a weak dollar policy by proxy and thanks to the fact that the addition of YCC to the policy mix has led to a steady taper of JGB purchases.
In this article: JYN
"We Have Moved To Sell The Rebounds": Dollar Slides, Futures Fade Amid Political Turmoil
Article By: Tyler Durden
Friday, March 16, 2018 8:19 AM EDT
European stocks drifted following a mixed session in Asia, while the dollar weakened largely as a result of a jump in Japan’s yen which helped drive down Bloomberg’s dollar index.
In this article: JYN, SPX, VIX, ERO, OIL
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