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Flattening Curve: Ticking Clock On This Over-Extended Cycle
Article By: Danielle Park, CFA
Wednesday, October 18, 2017 4:12 PM EDT
As the stock market parties like it’s early 2000, a historically reliable indicator of economic weakness, the yield curve, continues to raise alarm in North America.
In this article: TNX
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Comments On A Flattening Yield Curve And The Spec Record Short VIX
Podcast By: Cory Fleck
Wednesday, October 18, 2017 2:00 PM EDT
Chris Temple and I discuss the factors at play that are keeping this yield curve flat.
In this podcast: VIX, TNX
Listen
Dollar Denial
Article By: Jeffrey P. Snider
Wednesday, October 18, 2017 1:29 PM EDT
The flattening of the yield curve in 2017 as merely continuing the trend since Reflation No.2 broke down almost four years ago is the bond market telling the world of this imbalance of money and the very real risks it imposes. Rinse. Repeat.
In this article: TNX
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US-German Bond Spread Surges To Highest Since 1999
Article By: Tyler Durden
Wednesday, October 18, 2017 9:57 AM EDT
The spread between German and US sovereign bond yields is the widest since the start of the EU in 1999, but EUR/USD appears to have decoupled (just as it did in 2009 and 2013).
In this article: ERO
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Morning Call For Wednesday, Oct. 18
Article By: Jim Van Meerten
Wednesday, October 18, 2017 8:42 AM EDT
Dec E-mini S&Ps (ESZ17 +0.15%) this morning are up +0.16% at a new record nearest-futures high and European stocks are up +0.45% at a 5-month high.
In this article: AGN, CMG, GWW, IBM, WPC, INO, CREE, EXPE, SCSS, HCLP, MOBL, AKTX
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Global Fixed Income: Running On Empty?
Article By: WisdomTree
Wednesday, October 18, 2017 7:22 AM EDT
Through the first nine months of the year, the global fixed income markets continued to defy the odds.
In this article: HYG, EEM, TNX
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Less Than Square One
Article By: Jeffrey P. Snider
Tuesday, October 17, 2017 11:00 PM EDT
Goldman Sachs was the latest Wall Street bank to jump on low volatility. Despite an enormous gain in prop trading, most of the rest of the firm’s results were moving in the wrong direction.
In this article: CS, JPM
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Dow Fails To Hold 23,000 As Yield Curve Carnage Continues
Article By: Tyler Durden
Tuesday, October 17, 2017 8:06 PM EDT
The Dow is now up 17% YTD - crushing bonds and bullion.
In this article: DJI, VIX, SPX, PCG, NFLX, GLD, SLV, OIL, USO
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ECB Considering 30 Billion Euros Of Tapering
Article By: TheoTrade
Tuesday, October 17, 2017 3:09 PM EDT
After a few months of coming close, the yield curve has finally met the flattest point since before the last recession.
In this article: SPX, DJI, TNX, NFLX Also: VIX
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Central Bank Chiefs And Currencies
Article By: Marc Chandler
Tuesday, October 17, 2017 1:38 PM EDT
The market is fickle. It has jumped from one candidate to another as the most likely Fed Chair.
In this article: TNX, FXB, FXE, TLT
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The Fed Is Set To Trigger A Recession In December
Article By: Michael Carr
Tuesday, October 17, 2017 12:24 PM EDT
The recession indicator isn’t a pinpoint timing tool. Recessions followed signals by six to 34 months in the past, with an average lead time of 17 months. We should expect the next recession to occur in late 2018 or early 2019.
In this article: TNX
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Unhinged And Unrepentant - The Central Bankers' Demolition Squad
Article By: David Stockman
Tuesday, October 17, 2017 11:55 AM EDT
The BLS' sawed-off price ruler known as the CPI was up 2.2% on a Y/Y basis in September. Not only is that in excess of the magic Fed target, but it's not a one-off monthly aberration, either.
In this article: TNX
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Seeking More QE For Japan — Abe Calls Snap Election
Article By: Mises Institute
Tuesday, October 17, 2017 11:22 AM EDT
Opponents of Abe-economics — a policy whose defining characteristic these days is ever more radical monetary experimentation and a creeping but serious deterioration in the public finances — are in despair.
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“Bank” Some Of Your Gains
Article By: David Merkel
Tuesday, October 17, 2017 10:04 AM EDT
What do you reinvest in? The short bonds help if there is inflation, the long bonds help if there is deflation. Both remove the risk of the stock market.
In this article: MINT, TLT
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Morning Call For Tuesday, Oct. 17
Article By: Jim Van Meerten
Tuesday, October 17, 2017 8:20 AM EDT
Dec E-mini S&Ps (ESZ17 -0.02%) this morning are little changed, down -0.03% and European stocks are up +0.08%. U.S. stock indexes were consolidating their gains from Monday's rally to new all-time highs.
In this article: KMG, BGG, BMI, BRO, HUM, MS, CELG, NFLX, SAVE, SONC, CZR, ABEO, IMDZ, KALV
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Global Stocks Just Shy Of Record Highs As Dollar, Yields Rise On Taylor Tension
Article By: Tyler Durden
Tuesday, October 17, 2017 7:32 AM EDT
Global markets traded near all-time highs on Tuesday, with S&P futures, Asian shares and European stocks all flat this morning, while oil continued to gain on Kurdish geopolitical concerns while most industrial metals fell.
In this article: AAXJ, CNY, ERO, FXB, GBB, GLD, OIL, UUP, SPX, TNX
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