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Strong Manufacturing In February, But Weak Q1 GDP Likely
Article By: TheoTrade
Saturday, March 17, 2018 6:44 PM EDT
The overall economy looks like it will probably have a setback in the first half of the year if you follow the ECRI index and the Atlanta Fed GDP model. The weakness is being caused by the consumer, not manufacturing.
Gold Prices At Risk If Fed Echoes Jerome Powell Outlook At Hike
Article By: DailyFX
Saturday, March 17, 2018 4:55 PM EDT
Gold prices were originally up to a decent start last week, boosted by a US CPI report but on Thursday things turned south. The move appeared to reflect pre-positioning for next week’s FOMC monetary policy announcement
Is The Global Economy Cooling Off?
Video By: Russell Investments
Saturday, March 17, 2018 12:00 PM EDT
In the U.S., more signals may be emerging, such as a decline in consumer spending. The country just logged its second month in a row of weaker retail sales growth, and we’ve also seen some moderation in housing market activity.
Housing Starts And Permits Well Below Most Pessimistic Estimates
Article By: Mish Shedlock
Saturday, March 17, 2018 8:00 AM EDT
Economists expected a small pullback in housing starts and permits. Instead, those aspects of the report were a disaster.
Increased Productivity Is Eliminating Steel Industry Jobs, Not Imports
Article By: Foundation For Economic Education
Saturday, March 17, 2018 7:00 AM EDT
It now takes 85 percent fewer man-hours to produce a ton of steel than it did in 1980.
In this article: SLX
RecessionAlert Weekly Leading Index Update - Friday, March 16
Article By: Jill Mislinski
Friday, March 16, 2018 10:00 PM EDT
The latest index reading came in at 20.6, down from 21.0 the previous week.
Australian Dollar Pressured, Fed Hawkishness Will Be Decisive
Article By: DailyFX
Friday, March 16, 2018 8:59 PM EDT
The Australian Dollar is facing Big Thursday this week, as that’s the day when investors will learn whether the all-but universal expectation for another interest rate hike from the US Federal Reserve has been met.
March 2018: ECRI's WLI Growth Index Rate Continues To Slow
Article By: Steven Hansen
Friday, March 16, 2018 7:00 PM EDT
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) edged up to 149.7 from 149.3, while WLI growth ticked down to 5.6% from 5.8%.
US National Debt Hits $21 Trillion
Article By: Tyler Durden
Friday, March 16, 2018 6:51 PM EDT
Total US debt has now risen by over $1 trillion in Trump's first year... and the real spending hasn't even begun yet.
US Industry Experiences The Full 2014 Again In February
Article By: Jeffrey P. Snider
Friday, March 16, 2018 6:20 PM EDT
In February 2018, it was like old times for the US industrial sectors. Prior to the 2015-16 downturn, the otherwise moribund economy did produce two genuine booms.
Job Openings & Labor Turnover: Clues To The Business Cycle - Friday, March 16
Article By: Jill Mislinski
Friday, March 16, 2018 3:47 PM EDT
The Openings are slightly below its record high since the start of the series in December of 2000 and the moving average has been above the hires levels for the last two and a half years.
GDPNow Forecast Dips Slightly: Baseline 1.8%, Real Final Sales 1.1%
Article By: Mish Shedlock
Friday, March 16, 2018 3:28 PM EDT
For GDPNow, a strong factory report could not overtake weak housing and trade reports. Divergence with Nowcast widens.
What Is A First Time Home Buyer? (Not What You Think)
Podcast By: Upfina
Friday, March 16, 2018 3:06 PM EDT
Even though the government wants to get people into homes, it is hurting housing affordability because of red tape preventing new construction.
Something Just Isn’t Adding Up In The Recent Data
Article By: Tematica Research
Friday, March 16, 2018 3:00 PM EDT
The week started off strong out of the gate on Monday in the wake of Friday’s post-payroll rally, but the momentum quickly faded, leaving the S&P 500 down four consecutive days as of Thursday’s close.
In this article: SPX, TNX
Tariffs And Tightening: Here’s What $350 Billion Worth Of AUM Is Thinking
Article By: The Heisenberg Report
Friday, March 16, 2018 2:23 PM EDT
Investors are unsure about how to position for tariff threats in rates and instead view equities and the USD as the more obvious plays.
February 2018 Residential Building Again Mixed
Article By: Steven Hansen
Friday, March 16, 2018 2:14 PM EDT
The headline residential building permits declined and construction completions improved. But we keep our eyes on the rolling averages which were mixed.
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