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“You Have To Look Pretty Hard To Find The 'Trade War' Effect In The Data”
Article By: Menzie Chinn
Monday, May 13, 2024 1:06 AM EDT
That’s a quote from Bruce Hall, referring to the period 2011 onward. For his reference, I present key indicators of the manufacturing sector during the Trump trade war.
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Chinese Exports Rebound, Container Shortage On China-South America Route
Article By: EqualOcean
Sunday, May 12, 2024 11:05 PM EDT
The expansion of China-Latin America freight routes and the improvement in transportation efficiency provide logistics support for China-Latin America trade and promote industrial upgrading and regional economic integration in Latin America.
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Asia Open: Inflation And Tariffs Take Center Stage In Discussions
Article By: Stephen Innes
Sunday, May 12, 2024 10:01 PM EDT
A t the end of the day, you can lead the horse to the water but you can’t make him drink.
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Visions Of The 21st Century
Article By: Scott Sumner
Sunday, May 12, 2024 8:30 PM EDT
Fears of secular stagnation developed after a sluggish recovery from the Great Recession and a long period of near zero interest rates.  Even I expected interest rates to stay fairly low.
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Manufacturing Malaise?
Article By: Menzie Chinn
Sunday, May 12, 2024 8:00 PM EDT
Manufacturing employment is up relative to 3 years ago. Why so much dissatisfaction?
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My Inflation Data Expectation
Article By: Monica Kingsley
Sunday, May 12, 2024 6:09 PM EDT
Yields are going to retreat, and inflation data to the rescue ...
In this article: HYG, IWM, SPY, TLT
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GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: Speculative Perspective Important This Coming Week
Article By: Robert Petrucci
Sunday, May 12, 2024 5:30 PM EDT
Another week of rather volatile conditions persisted for GBP/USD currency pair speculators last week, as the Bank of England and growth data from the UK created impetus.
In this article: FXB, UUP
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Weekly Forex Forecast - Sunday, May 12
Article By: Adam Lemon
Sunday, May 12, 2024 4:00 PM EDT
The past week saw lower volatility in the Forex market. Last week’s key takeaway was the souring of risk-on sentiment due to expectations in the US of higher inflationary pressure, as well as Consumer Sentiment data which came in at a six-month low.
In this article: FXB, FXY, SLV, UUP, SPX, XAU
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Expect Market Volatility To Expand Meaningfully The Week Of May 13, 2024
Article By: Michael J. Kramer
Sunday, May 12, 2024 3:40 PM EDT
Stocks closed flattish on Friday after a weaker-than-expected University of Michigan report showed that consumer confidence plunged and inflation expectations rose. The report caused a rather sharp reversal in risk assets, while rates pushed higher.
In this article: NDX, VIX, QYLD
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The Debate Continues - Will They, Or Won’t They?
Article By: Donn Goodman
Sunday, May 12, 2024 3:00 PM EDT
I could write about many topics this week, as there were more than a handful of newsworthy items. But given the amount of time, space, and energy that the media has been giving to whether or not the Fed will lower rates, I thought I would weigh in.
In this article: QQQ, TLT, SPX, VIX, DJI Also: XLP, XLY
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The Stock Market This Week - Sunday, May 12
Article By: Dividend Power
Sunday, May 12, 2024 1:40 PM EDT
Recent data showed that it was an excellent week in the stock market. All the main indexes were positive. The Dow Jones Industrial Average had the best return. It was followed by the S&P 500 Index, the Russell 2000, and the Nasdaq Composite.
In this article: QQQ, IWM, SPX, VIX, DJI
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Artificial Intelligence And Inflation: A Volatile Relationship
Article By: Bill Conerly
Sunday, May 12, 2024 10:15 AM EDT
Businesses, consumers and investors should expect a wild ride. Flexibility is the key.
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Weekly Commentary: Citadel Vs. Jane Street
Article By: Doug Noland
Sunday, May 12, 2024 9:00 AM EDT
I’ve studied enough market history – including the fateful “Roaring Twenties” period – to be uncomfortable with much of what I observe these days.
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Crude Oil Weekly Forecast: Values Remain Under Speculative Pressures
Article By: Robert Petrucci
Sunday, May 12, 2024 6:03 AM EDT
The price of WTI Crude Oil closed the week of trading slightly below its starting point last Monday, and trading in the commodity remains under speculative pressure.
In this article: BNO, OIL, UCO, USO
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US Consumers Are On Life Support
Video By: Peter Schiff
Sunday, May 12, 2024 1:33 AM EDT
In today's video we'll be discussing some business matters with Don Ma!
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DiMartino Booth On Stagflation, AI, And “Condo-Mageddon”
Video By: Ed D'Agostino
Saturday, May 11, 2024 11:18 PM EDT
Today, we discuss what these job losses mean for inflation, along with additional signs that we might have been in a recession for months, possibly since last July.
Watch
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