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Why Isn’t The USA In A Recession ?
Article By: Angry Bear
Sunday, April 28, 2024 12:30 AM EDT
Briefly, high interest rates can cause a recession by causing an appreciation of the national currency which causes a sharp decline in net exports.
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Central Banks Are Wrong About Rate Cuts
Article By: Mises Institute
Saturday, April 27, 2024 11:06 PM EDT
When we talk about monetary policy, people do not understand the importance of interest rates reflecting the reality of inflation and risk.
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Week Ahead: FOMC, US Jobs, EMU Inflation, JPY Pressure
Article By: Marc Chandler
Saturday, April 27, 2024 1:00 PM EDT
The backing up of US rates did not broadly lift the dollar as it appeared to have done previously. The dollar-bloc currencies, led by the Australian dollar, advanced last week, while the Swiss franc and Japanese yen were unable to find traction.
In this article: FXE, FXA, FXB, FXC, FXY, UUP
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Economic And Business Impacts Of FTC’s Noncompete Ban
Article By: Bill Conerly
Saturday, April 27, 2024 11:13 AM EDT
The idea of a competitive market for labor sounds more reasonable today as many companies have struggled to hire and retain the workers they want.
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Inflation Still Runs Hot, Gold And Silver Prices Stabilize
Article By: Stefan Gleason
Friday, April 26, 2024 6:20 PM EDT
The more the Fed loses credibility on inflation, the more investors will be drawn to precious metals for wealth protection.
In this article: GLD, SLV
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U.S. Bank Deposits Suffer Biggest Weekly Decline Since 9/11 As Tax Man Cometh
Article By: Tyler Durden
Friday, April 26, 2024 5:45 PM EDT
It's that time of year again and US bank deposits sure showed it.
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Yen Collapse Suggests We Are At The Tipping Point Of Keynesian Failure
Video By: Chris Marcus
Friday, April 26, 2024 2:48 PM EDT
If there's one myth that Keynesianism has ingrained successfully into the sound money gold and silver community, it's that higher rates are the solution to higher consumer prices.
In this video: GLD, SLV, COPX, FXY
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The Turn Is Coming
Article By: Todd Sullivan
Friday, April 26, 2024 2:12 PM EDT
The 10yr minus 3-month Treasury rate, called the Yield Curve, is moving higher at a rapid pace as investors adjust their inflation thinking to being more persistent in the 3%-4% range.
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The Federal Reserve's $34.5 Trillion Problem
Article By: Stefan Gleason
Friday, April 26, 2024 2:00 PM EDT
Rising interest rates drove Uncle Sam’s interest payments to over 35 percent as a percentage of total tax receipts in fiscal 2023. The government is already paying more than a third of the taxes it collects on interest expenses.
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Fed Likely To Hold Rates Steady And Warn Of The Risk Of Delay To Cuts
Article By: ING Economics
Friday, April 26, 2024 12:57 PM EDT
Elevated inflation and strong activity and jobs numbers have pushed market expectations for the timing of the first interest rate cut to December.
In this article: SPY
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If 10-Year Yields Surpass 5%, Say Hello To QE (And Massive Inflation)
Article By: SchiffGold
Friday, April 26, 2024 12:02 PM EDT
Treasury yields keep inching up, recently reaching 4.7% — the highest since November. The Fed is stuck: It needs to raise interest rates to tame inflation and make Treasuries more attractive.
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Today, Investors' Focus Is On The PCE Price Index Inflation Report
Article By: JustMarkets
Friday, April 26, 2024 6:30 AM EDT
The PCE inflation report will be released in the US today. The March Personal Consumption Goods Price Index is predicted to show a mixed picture of inflationary trends.
In this article: CAT, IBM, META, NDX, SPX, DJI, DAX
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FX Daily: The Dollar Should Be Stronger
Article By: ING Economics
Friday, April 26, 2024 5:32 AM EDT
The divergence of FX markets from rates and equities generally doesn’t last long, and we expect a delayed USD strengthening after yesterday’s upside surprise in 1Q US PCE data.
In this article: FXE, FXB, FXY, UUP
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Bombshell GDP Report Confirms Everything
Video By: Jeffrey P. Snider
Friday, April 26, 2024 4:53 AM EDT
GDP comes in the worst in two years because prices shot up again, therefore the term "stagflation" is going to be everywhere.
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The Middle Class Is Getting Destroyed, While Assets Are 40% Overvalued
Video By: Adam Taggart
Thursday, April 25, 2024 3:20 PM EDT
With the market now expecting less than 2 rate cuts this year -- perhaps none at all until next year according to Bank of America -- what does that mean for the economy?
In this video: SPY
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Money Supply Sees Major Jump In Recent Weeks
Article By: SchiffGold
Thursday, April 25, 2024 11:27 AM EDT
Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect.
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